I spent a week at Reds camp, which isn’t enough time to jump to the conclusion I’m about to.

The question I’ll try to answer: Will they meet or exceed expectations? Now, let’s define those expectations. The Hard Rock Casino has the win total at 65.5. And fangraphs.com’s ZIP predictions has them going 70-92.

Not a high bar in either case. But this team went 62-100 last year, and they shed three of their best players — Luis Castillo, Tyler Mahle and Brandon Drury — at the trade deadline. They then traded Kyle Farmer in the offseason.

So you could argue that they go into this season with a weaker roster than most of last year.

But I think they could win 70 or so games if many things go right. It’s a long “if” list, but when you’re in the position general manager Nick Krall is, i.e., deal in with a payroll that’s $50 million less than it was in 2021, that’s how it’s going to be.

So here’s my if list:

-If Hunter Geene and Nick Lodolo continue to develop into front-of-the-rotation starters and pitch the way they did in the ladder part of last season. Both have had good camps. Reds manager David Bell was asked what the ideal season would be for Greene.

“I hesitate to put any sort of limit on it or prediction,” Bell said. “The one thing we do know is no matter how good you are, it is always difficult. It’s a long season. There are going to be ups and downs, even for the absolute best season you could have. I know that, but beyond that, I’d hate to put any sort of limit on him.

Ditto for Lodolo.

“Very similar to what (I) said about Hunter earlier,” Bell said. “He just handles everything great. He’s a different look (than Greene). His pitches are continuing to get better, but I think what stands out the most is just who he is. We’re just really lucky to have young pitchers that are mature, they handle things well. They’re also really interested in our team and do things that make our team better. So to have young players that can grow with that. It’s really nice.”

Greene put up a 1.02 ERA over his last six starts of the season. Lodolo was 3-5 with a 3.35 ERA over his last 16 starts.

Two potential aces at the top of the rotation make building the pitching staff around them much easier.

-If Joey Votto and Nick Senzel do not miss extended time at the start of the season. Neither has played in spring games after offseason surgery. Mid-March is the best guess as to when Votto (shoulder) and Senzel (toe) will play.

Votto is 39 years old and coming off his worst year; Senzel has not been able to stay healthy. So it’s easy to overlook their importance. But they are significantly better than the players who will get at-bats in the their absence.

-If someone can emerge as this year’s Brandon Drury. Through trades and cheap free-agent signings, the Reds have a lot of players in camp who will get opportunities. Chad Pinder, Nick Solak and Kevin Newman head the list. If one of them can do what Drury did and take a big step, it will help immensely.

In my limited time in camp, two players impressed me were outfielder Will Benson and corner infielder Christian Encarnacion-Strand.

Benson, obtained in a trade with Cleveland, slashed .278/.426/.522 in 316 at-bats at Triple-A last year. He’s a big guy (6-foot-5, 225 pounds) who can run (16 steals at Triple-A last year). Benson, 24, was the 14th pick overall.

Encarnacion-Strand, one of the three players in the Tyler Mahle trade with Minnesota, slashed .317/.376/.588 in 591 ABs in the minors. He’s only 23. He’s athletic for his size (6-1, 229 pounds).

-If Alexis Diaz can be an effective closer. His numbers last year — 7-3, 1.84 ERA, 10 saves, 83 strikeouts, 33 walks in 63 2/3 innings — were impressive. But he still falls under the small-sample-size umbrella.

-If the Reds can avoid an April disaster like last year. The 3-22 start doomed the season. A good start is paramount. Not a great start. But if they can get through April in the same area code at .500, it will do wonders.

This is a young team that needs to build confidence. Winning does that.

-If one of the young prospects can step up and turn that potential into production. There are a lot of candidates — Elly De La Cruz, Jose Barrero, Noelvi Marte, Encarnacion-Stand and Spencer Steer.

Cruz and Marte have particularly high ceilings. They will likely start in the minors, but the Redsd should not be afraid to promote them if they hit at Double-A or Triple-A.

-If Tyler Stephenson gets 500 at-bats. Stephenson looked great last year, but he could not stay healthy. The injuries were freak things — broken hand and collar bone resulting from pitches hitting him while catching.

The Reds plan to mitigate the chances of that by using Stephenson as first base and designated hitter. But he’s a key player for his bat and leadership.

There are probably a dozen more ifs that you can list. Again, the bar is low. I don’t think anyone expects the Reds to contend. But they must take a significant step forward to show the fans that the rebuild is progressing. Winning 71, 72 games would show that.

That could happen if . . .